SIOUX FALLS S.D. (KELO) — The weather picture is starting quiet across most of KELOLAND, but thunderstorms will be returning to the region.

The latest radar and satellite picture shows most of the storms staying to our south overnight. However, that trend should shift northward the next 24 to 36 hours.

The map below shows the storm tracks across the plains the past 2 days. The rain last night was very heavy in parts of NW Missouri and southern Iowa.

For today, the risk of severe weather is in the marginal category across much of southern KELOLAND. However, there is a slight risk for Black Hills, where hail and wind threats are higher.

Take a look at the trends on Futurecast below. A few scattered showers and thundershowers are possible today in the southeast, but those stronger scattered storms should fire in eastern Wyoming late this afternoon. Expect clusters of showers and thunderstorms to rumble eastward tonight as that deeper plume of tropical moisture shifts into northern Nebraska, southern South Dakota, northern Iowa, and southern Minnesota. This means any thunderstorms that develop could become locally heavy due to the high water content in the atmosphere. Most of the thunderstorm chances will move east by Thursday afternoon. Hotter and more humid weather is just around the corner by Friday and Saturday.

The map below shows the overall rain outlook through Thursday. Again, the heaviest totals still favor areas just south and east of Sioux Falls.

With the heat and humidity returning to the plains this weekend, the chances of severe weather will return as well.

Here are the details of the forecast.